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Black Hill vs Newlands Arm

Property investment comparison - Black Hill, VIC 3350 vs Newlands Arm, VIC 3875

Head-to-head across core investment metrics: Black Hill wins 3, Newlands Arm wins 3. The better choice depends on whether you're optimising for cash flow, growth, affordability, or liquidity, the table below highlights the winner on each metric.

MetricBlack HillNewlands Arm
Median house price$610K$610K
Median unit price$455K$445K
Gross rental yield (houses)3.83%3.93%
Gross rental yield (units)3.89%4.60%
1-year house growth+10.6%+5.2%
3-year house growth-5.8%-9.6%
Vacancy rate1.2%2.3%
Population2,124866

Black Hill vs Newlands Arm: what the numbers say

Houses cost about the same in both suburbs: the median house price is $610K in Black Hill and $610K in Newlands Arm.

For units, Black Hill sits at a median of $455K against $445K in Newlands Arm, which makes Newlands Arm the more affordable unit market and Black Hill the pricier one.

On cash flow, Newlands Arm leads: houses there return a gross rental yield of 3.93%, compared with 3.83% in Black Hill, a gap of 0.10 percentage points.

Over the past year house prices moved +10.6% in Black Hill and +5.2% in Newlands Arm, so recent momentum favours Black Hill, although both suburbs recorded growth.

Looking back three years, Black Hill houses are -5.8% and Newlands Arm houses -9.6%, so Black Hill has compounded faster than Newlands Arm over the longer window.

Rental vacancy is 1.2% in Black Hill and 2.3% in Newlands Arm, so landlords in Black Hill face less competition for tenants. Anything under 2% is generally read as a tight market where tenants compete for homes.

Black Hill is the bigger suburb, with a population of 2,124 against 866, roughly 2.5 times the size of Newlands Arm; a larger suburb usually means a deeper pool of buyers and tenants.

In short: Newlands Arm for rental income, Black Hill for recent price momentum, Black Hill for the tighter rental market. Which matters more depends on whether the investor is buying for cash flow, capital growth or affordability.

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