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Cranbourne vs Pakenham

Property investment comparison - Cranbourne, VIC 3977 vs Pakenham, VIC 3810

Head-to-head across core investment metrics: Cranbourne wins 2, Pakenham wins 3. The better choice depends on whether you're optimising for cash flow, growth, affordability, or liquidity, the table below highlights the winner on each metric.

MetricCranbournePakenham
Median house price$720K$720K
Median unit price$540K$560K
Gross rental yield (houses)3.97%-
Gross rental yield (units)4.81%4.73%
1-year house growth+6.4%+7.6%
3-year house growth+9.9%+12.5%
Vacancy rate1.9%1.7%
Population21,28154,118

Cranbourne vs Pakenham: what the numbers say

Houses cost about the same in both suburbs: the median house price is $720K in Cranbourne and $720K in Pakenham.

For units, Cranbourne sits at a median of $540K against $560K in Pakenham, which makes Cranbourne the more affordable unit market and Pakenham the pricier one.

Over the past year house prices moved +6.4% in Cranbourne and +7.6% in Pakenham, so recent momentum favours Pakenham, although both suburbs recorded growth.

Looking back three years, Cranbourne houses are +9.9% and Pakenham houses +12.5%, so Pakenham has compounded faster than Cranbourne over the longer window.

Rental vacancy is 1.7% in Pakenham and 1.9% in Cranbourne, so landlords in Pakenham face less competition for tenants. Anything under 2% is generally read as a tight market where tenants compete for homes.

Pakenham is the bigger suburb, with a population of 54,118 against 21,281, roughly 2.5 times the size of Cranbourne; a larger suburb usually means a deeper pool of buyers and tenants.

In short: Pakenham for recent price momentum, Pakenham for the tighter rental market. Which matters more depends on whether the investor is buying for cash flow, capital growth or affordability.

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