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Cumbalum vs Minchinbury

Property investment comparison - Cumbalum, NSW 2478 vs Minchinbury, NSW 2770

Head-to-head across core investment metrics: Cumbalum wins 1, Minchinbury wins 4. The better choice depends on whether you're optimising for cash flow, growth, affordability, or liquidity, the table below highlights the winner on each metric.

MetricCumbalumMinchinbury
Median house price$1.3M$1.3M
Median unit price$920K$815K
Gross rental yield (houses)-2.81%
Gross rental yield (units)4.02%3.67%
1-year house growth+1.4%+5.6%
3-year house growth+17.1%+27.2%
Vacancy rate1.6%1.1%
Population2,2115,778

Cumbalum vs Minchinbury: what the numbers say

Houses cost about the same in both suburbs: the median house price is $1.3M in Cumbalum and $1.3M in Minchinbury.

For units, Cumbalum sits at a median of $920K against $815K in Minchinbury, which makes Minchinbury the more affordable unit market and Cumbalum the pricier one.

Over the past year house prices moved +1.4% in Cumbalum and +5.6% in Minchinbury, so recent momentum favours Minchinbury, although both suburbs recorded growth.

Looking back three years, Cumbalum houses are +17.1% and Minchinbury houses +27.2%, so Minchinbury has compounded faster than Cumbalum over the longer window.

Rental vacancy is 1.1% in Minchinbury and 1.6% in Cumbalum, so landlords in Minchinbury face less competition for tenants. Anything under 2% is generally read as a tight market where tenants compete for homes.

Minchinbury is the bigger suburb, with a population of 5,778 against 2,211, roughly 2.6 times the size of Cumbalum; a larger suburb usually means a deeper pool of buyers and tenants.

In short: Minchinbury for recent price momentum, Minchinbury for the tighter rental market. Which matters more depends on whether the investor is buying for cash flow, capital growth or affordability.

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