Fern Bay vs Pelican
Property investment comparison - Fern Bay, NSW 2295 vs Pelican, NSW 2281
Head-to-head across core investment metrics: Fern Bay wins 1, Pelican wins 4. The better choice depends on whether you're optimising for cash flow, growth, affordability, or liquidity, the table below highlights the winner on each metric.
| Metric | Fern Bay | Pelican |
|---|---|---|
| Median house price | $1.1M | $1.1M |
| Median unit price | $815K | - |
| Gross rental yield (houses) | 3.50% | 3.70% |
| Gross rental yield (units) | 4.00% | 4.30% |
| 1-year house growth | +6.5% | +8.6% |
| 3-year house growth | +10.6% | +34.2% |
| Vacancy rate | 1.0% | 5.5% |
| Population | 4,046 | 874 |
Fern Bay vs Pelican: what the numbers say
Houses cost about the same in both suburbs: the median house price is $1.1M in Fern Bay and $1.1M in Pelican.
On cash flow, Pelican leads: houses there return a gross rental yield of 3.70%, compared with 3.50% in Fern Bay, a gap of 0.20 percentage points.
Over the past year house prices moved +6.5% in Fern Bay and +8.6% in Pelican, so recent momentum favours Pelican, although both suburbs recorded growth.
Looking back three years, Fern Bay houses are +10.6% and Pelican houses +34.2%, so Pelican has compounded faster than Fern Bay over the longer window.
Rental vacancy is 1.0% in Fern Bay and 5.5% in Pelican, so landlords in Fern Bay face less competition for tenants. Anything under 2% is generally read as a tight market where tenants compete for homes.
Fern Bay is the bigger suburb, with a population of 4,046 against 874, roughly 4.6 times the size of Pelican; a larger suburb usually means a deeper pool of buyers and tenants.
In short: Pelican for rental income, Pelican for recent price momentum, Fern Bay for the tighter rental market. Which matters more depends on whether the investor is buying for cash flow, capital growth or affordability.
Keep exploring
- National investment guide - top suburbs across every metric
- Take the suburb finder quiz - 5 questions to match your goals
- How our investment score works
- Property investment glossary - every term defined
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